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		<title>Sir Francis: the Probabilty Machine &#8211; From Chaos to Order &#8211; Randomness in Stock Prices</title>
		<link>http://fyinance.com/stocks/sir-francis-the-probabilty-machine-from-chaos-to-order-randomness-in-stock-prices</link>
		<comments>http://fyinance.com/stocks/sir-francis-the-probabilty-machine-from-chaos-to-order-randomness-in-stock-prices#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Feb 2010 16:49:58 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[







IFA.com &#8211; http &#8211; The random walk of stock market prices and the efficient market hypothesis is simulated by physical action of beads hitting a pattern of pins. The Efficient Market Hypothesis says prices are fair. If the expected return of an investment is 1% per month, about half the monthly returns will below and [...]<p><a href="http://fyinance.com/stocks/sir-francis-the-probabilty-machine-from-chaos-to-order-randomness-in-stock-prices">Sir Francis: the Probabilty Machine &#8211; From Chaos to Order &#8211; Randomness in Stock Prices</a> is a post from: <a href="http://fyinance.com">FYInance</a></p>
]]></description>
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<p>IFA.com &#8211; http &#8211; The random walk of stock market prices and the efficient market hypothesis is simulated by physical action of beads hitting a pattern of pins. The Efficient Market Hypothesis says prices are fair. If the expected return of an investment is 1% per month, about half the monthly returns will below and above that average return. So the fair price set at the beginning of each month sets the chance that future returns will be 50% higher and 50% lower than the expected return. The further the returns deviate from the average, the less likely they are to occur. The red bar overlay represents 600 simulated monthly returns of ifa&#8217;s Index Portfolio 100. As you can see the distribution of the beads is similar to the index portfolio.</p>
<p><a href="http://fyinance.com/stocks/sir-francis-the-probabilty-machine-from-chaos-to-order-randomness-in-stock-prices">Sir Francis: the Probabilty Machine &#8211; From Chaos to Order &#8211; Randomness in Stock Prices</a> is a post from: <a href="http://fyinance.com">FYInance</a></p>

	Tags:<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/bell" title="&quot;bell" rel="tag">&quot;bell</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/efficient" title="&quot;efficient" rel="tag">&quot;efficient</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/normal" title="&quot;normal" rel="tag">&quot;normal</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/box" title="Box" rel="tag">Box</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/crisis" title="crisis" rel="tag">crisis</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/curve" title="curve&quot;" rel="tag">curve&quot;</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/distribution" title="distribution&quot;" rel="tag">distribution&quot;</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/diversfication" title="diversfication" rel="tag">diversfication</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/diversified" title="diversified" rel="tag">diversified</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/economic" title="Economic" rel="tag">Economic</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/economy" title="Economy" rel="tag">Economy</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/etf" title="etf" rel="tag">etf</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/fama" title="fama" rel="tag">fama</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/financial" title="financial" rel="tag">financial</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/french" title="french" rel="tag">french</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/funds" title="funds" rel="tag">funds</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/galton" title="Galton" rel="tag">Galton</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/gauss" title="gauss" rel="tag">gauss</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/gaussian" title="gaussian" rel="tag">gaussian</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/global" title="global" rel="tag">global</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/hebner" title="hebner" rel="tag">hebner</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/how" title="how" rel="tag">how</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/ifa-com" title="ifa.com" rel="tag">ifa.com</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/index" title="index" rel="tag">index</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/indexes" title="indexes" rel="tag">indexes</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/international" title="international" rel="tag">international</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/invest" title="invest" rel="tag">invest</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/investing" title="Investing" rel="tag">Investing</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/madoff" title="Madoff" rel="tag">Madoff</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/mark" title="mark" rel="tag">mark</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/market" title="market" rel="tag">market</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/markets" title="markets" rel="tag">markets</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/modern" title="modern" rel="tag">modern</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/mutual" title="mutual" rel="tag">mutual</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/news" title="news" rel="tag">news</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/picks" title="Picks" rel="tag">Picks</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/portfolio" title="Portfolio" rel="tag">Portfolio</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/recession" title="Recession" rel="tag">Recession</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/risk" title="risk" rel="tag">risk</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/smart" title="Smart" rel="tag">Smart</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/statistics" title="statistics" rel="tag">statistics</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/stock" title="stock" rel="tag">stock</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/stocks" title="Stocks" rel="tag">Stocks</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/theory" title="Theory" rel="tag">Theory</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/to" title="to" rel="tag">to</a>

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</ul>

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		<title>Stock Investing &#8211; Tips to Get the Small Investor Started in the Equity Market</title>
		<link>http://fyinance.com/stocks/stock-investing-tips-to-get-the-small-investor-started-in-the-equity-market</link>
		<comments>http://fyinance.com/stocks/stock-investing-tips-to-get-the-small-investor-started-in-the-equity-market#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 16:45:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fyinance.com/stocks/stock-investing-tips-to-get-the-small-investor-started-in-the-equity-market</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[To purchase a youtips4u Custom Designed T-Shirt, please click here: cgi.ebay.com For more helpful tips, or if you have any questions, please visit www.youtips4u.blogspot.com Hi, in this video I show you how you can get started investing your money in the stock market. Due to the recent failing economy, many stocks have become very cheap [...]<p><a href="http://fyinance.com/stocks/stock-investing-tips-to-get-the-small-investor-started-in-the-equity-market">Stock Investing &#8211; Tips to Get the Small Investor Started in the Equity Market</a> is a post from: <a href="http://fyinance.com">FYInance</a></p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><object width="425" height="355"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/oUXflM5e34g?f=videos&#038;app=youtube_gdata&#038;showsearch=0"></param><param name="wmode" value="transparent"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/oUXflM5e34g?f=videos&#038;app=youtube_gdata&#038;showsearch=0" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" wmode="transparent" width="425" height="355"></embed></object></p>
<p>To purchase a youtips4u Custom Designed T-Shirt, please click here: cgi.ebay.com For more helpful tips, or if you have any questions, please visit www.youtips4u.blogspot.com Hi, in this video I show you how you can get started investing your money in the stock market. Due to the recent failing economy, many stocks have become very cheap and it&#8217;s a great time to invest and ride the recovery back up. You can build your portfolio of quality stocks over time with some of my easy steps which include how to get an understanding of the terminology, what information is available to you and what trading platforms are low cost. A great video to help the small investor get started! You no longer need a high cost broker because you can do it all online now yourself for much very low commission. I hope you enjoy this informative video. Please subscribe because I have more helpful videos to come, including more on investing your money. Thanks so much for viewing.</p>
<p><a href="http://fyinance.com/stocks/stock-investing-tips-to-get-the-small-investor-started-in-the-equity-market">Stock Investing &#8211; Tips to Get the Small Investor Started in the Equity Market</a> is a post from: <a href="http://fyinance.com">FYInance</a></p>

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		<title>Bootstrapping value at risk (VaR)</title>
		<link>http://fyinance.com/stocks/bootstrapping-value-at-risk-var</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 16 Jan 2010 16:46:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fyinance.com/stocks/bootstrapping-value-at-risk-var</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is an illustration, using a simple portfolio of four stocks over one week, of the bootstrap method. Like the Monte Carlo, we want to simulate each stock (in the portfolio) forward in time. If today is time t, then we want to simulate the stock on t+1, t+2, t+3, etc. The key difference is: [...]<p><a href="http://fyinance.com/stocks/bootstrapping-value-at-risk-var">Bootstrapping value at risk (VaR)</a> is a post from: <a href="http://fyinance.com">FYInance</a></p>
]]></description>
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<p>This is an illustration, using a simple portfolio of four stocks over one week, of the bootstrap method. Like the Monte Carlo, we want to simulate each stock (in the portfolio) forward in time. If today is time t, then we want to simulate the stock on t+1, t+2, t+3, etc. The key difference is: The Monte Carlo uses an algorithm (eg, geometric Brownian motion) to simulate the stock on t+1. In MCS, the randomness is applied in the algorithm; it informs the stochastic process But The bootstrap &#8230;</p>
<p><a href="http://fyinance.com/stocks/bootstrapping-value-at-risk-var">Bootstrapping value at risk (VaR)</a> is a post from: <a href="http://fyinance.com">FYInance</a></p>

	Tags:<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/finance" title="finance" rel="tag">finance</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/quant" title="Quant" rel="tag">Quant</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/risk" title="risk" rel="tag">risk</a>

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		<title>Fixed Returns &#8211; Guaranteed, Safe, Proven</title>
		<link>http://fyinance.com/general/fixed-returns-guaranteed-safe-proven</link>
		<comments>http://fyinance.com/general/fixed-returns-guaranteed-safe-proven#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Jun 2009 16:49:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[401K]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[certificates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deposit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[insurance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IRA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[no]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[of]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pension]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fyinance.com/general/fixed-returns-guaranteed-safe-proven</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[your money. They are perfect for some situations but educate yourself. Joshua Duggins discusses the proper time and place for a certificate of deposit and a safe, secure alternative called UR the Bank. The Prentiss Group is the only firm offering the UR the Bank program. If you like the security and predictability of a [...]<p><a href="http://fyinance.com/general/fixed-returns-guaranteed-safe-proven">Fixed Returns &#8211; Guaranteed, Safe, Proven</a> is a post from: <a href="http://fyinance.com">FYInance</a></p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><object width="425" height="355"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/XgbUOQDMSnM&#038;f=videos&#038;app=youtube_gdata&#038;showsearch=0"></param><param name="wmode" value="transparent"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/XgbUOQDMSnM&#038;f=videos&#038;app=youtube_gdata&#038;showsearch=0" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" wmode="transparent" width="425" height="355"></embed></object></p>
<p>your money. They are perfect for some situations but educate yourself. Joshua Duggins discusses the proper time and place for a certificate of deposit and a safe, secure alternative called UR the Bank. The Prentiss Group is the only firm offering the UR the Bank program. If you like the security and predictability of a CD, then you&#8217;ll love the higher interest paying program we call UR the Bank. Call 888-777-3805 for more info or visit www.GuaranteeMyMoney.com. &#8230; Retirement certificates of &#8230;</p>
<p><a href="http://fyinance.com/general/fixed-returns-guaranteed-safe-proven">Fixed Returns &#8211; Guaranteed, Safe, Proven</a> is a post from: <a href="http://fyinance.com">FYInance</a></p>

	Tags:<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/401k" title="401K" rel="tag">401K</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/cds" title="cds" rel="tag">cds</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/certificates" title="certificates" rel="tag">certificates</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/deposit" title="deposit" rel="tag">deposit</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/estate" title="estate" rel="tag">estate</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/insurance" title="insurance" rel="tag">insurance</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/ira" title="IRA" rel="tag">IRA</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/no" title="no" rel="tag">no</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/of" title="of" rel="tag">of</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/pension" title="pension" rel="tag">pension</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/planning" title="planning" rel="tag">planning</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/premium" title="premium" rel="tag">premium</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/real" title="real" rel="tag">real</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/retirement" title="Retirement" rel="tag">Retirement</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/risk" title="risk" rel="tag">risk</a>,<a href="http://fyinance.com/tag/trusts" title="trusts" rel="tag">trusts</a>

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